(Political Post – if you want to pass – I don’t blame you)
This is the world that we have made – or at least the United States we have made.
Our relationship with words, meaning, and factual statements have paved the way to this conclusion.
As a Science Fiction writer I can’t help buy place myself 4 years from now and 8 years from now and try to prognosticate what could happen – in a kind of “worst case” scenario.
It is a good idea to engage in empathetic treks in to the future and understand both best, worst, and average cases – in a way project managers try to prognosticate the completion (hopefully) of their projects.
We have a fairly good framework laid out at present. When Donald was a “would be” president – he stated that the election was fixed – unless he won it.
Next Donald has made many statements about how big he won the election. That is not the case, either.
Now, we could assume for a moment that he doesn’t know what he is doing – but I think this has been a fatal flaw in how the public, government, and politicians have dealt with Donald. To continue with our framework Donald claims he won the popular vote due to millions of illegal votes for Hillary and he claimed that if that was the goal (winning the popular vote) he would have focused on that and won the popular vote.
His claims notably through his Press Secretary (and humorously lampooned by everyone else) that he had a crowd larger than any crowd ever for his inauguration – are completely, visibly, notably false.
Donald continues his rants about how he didn’t really lose the popular vote and that millions of people voted illegally.
As a person in authority (the highest state authority in the US) his statements carry weight. It is like having a problem with a police officer and then going to court. People are going to give the police officer’s testimony more value than any statement that you make – even if the police officer’s statements are provably incorrect.
It should also be noted that his first official Press Secretary task to blatantly lie to the US public about his “bigly” crowd sizes.
This is not done by accident. Less than four years from now (regardless of the actions during his tenure as president) these claims are going to be pounded upon over and over again – an advertisement for a propensity to believe someone when they say the election is rigged. I don’t think I have ever seen such a sore winner of a presidential election in the United States of America – ever.
There is no question in my mind that Donald will start taking on Dictatorial attributes and if he should lose the election will claim there is widespread fraud – he will invalidate the election and continue his presidency.
He will combine and exaggerate claims that the US is crumbling. That the US needs a strong leader and (whoever) the Democrats cannot provide such a leader. He will take full “dictatorship” of the United States of America until such time as there is enough stability to continue normal electoral processes.
Now, the above is the worst case scenario. Please; however, note that the actions, statements, and events don’t make sense unless you are priming for a coup of the democratic system. You should ask questions of Donald’s behavior.
- Why does it matter how many people watched or attended the inauguration?
- Why repeat debunked statements that “millions” of people voted illegally? This single statement is targeted at weakening confidence in the election process.
- Why tell people he had the biggest electoral victory ever?
- He is a leader of a great flock – and so many people supported him that it isn’t possible that he would be one of those lame single term presidents
- Laying the foundation for marking the next election – with no evidence whatsoever – as illegitimate
- Because, how could someone with the “biggest” electoral victory ever end up losing a second term?
They are all statements and actions geared for breaking our elections system down.
While all the above is factual and then extends outward from that it could be that Donald will win the second term fairly. This seems unlikely given his lowest ever popularity levels at the start of a presidency (a fact I’m sure will be glossed over or forgotten by the next election). It also does not seem likely as while admirably he is moving quickly on many positions – each one is fraught with danger for his future second term.
Millions of people may be out of health insurance. These will not be happy people and it appears a lot of them overlap with Donald’s voting population.
He is; however, very good at marketing. He may set things in the future and that repairing and getting everyone health insurance coverage is coming soon.
Unfortunately, even in the medium case the groundwork that he is laying down – on government competence (hammering at Hillary’s 30 years of experience in government), economics, and immigration – he still has quite a place that in 2024 – he will push to be temporary dictator of the country. Perhaps he will claim that the elections are rigged and until we can establish a non-rigged system. That could take some time.
The positive case is that Donald does what he is going to do – admirably actually following through with his statements – and the impacts are so bad that he loses in a landslide for his second term. Instead of pounding on the point of illegal voters, he pulls back and decides that perhaps politics was not his favorite occupation.
This positive case – seems very unlikely.